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Practical notes, explanations, and lessons filed under investing.
66 articles
Friday's indexes slipped, but gold miners, large defense contractors and selected banks all outperformed. Here is what could keep that non-tech strength alive into Monday—and what would break it.
Sunday adds no new U.S. cash-session evidence, so Fortinet and F5 remain the only clean unresolved catch-up watches. Both still lag cybersecurity peers over medium windows, but neither has earned a Monday entry yet.
A Sunday refresh for Monday's U.S. session across 12 major technology shares. AMD and Nvidia remain the strongest positive leans, Broadcom the clearest negative expectation-gap setup, and no call reaches 60% because the tested models still trail a simple bullish baseline.
Friday's major indexes slipped, but small caps, U.S. drone makers and oil producers showed clear relative strength. Three broader-market momentum themes to watch into Monday.
Friday erased Fortinet's first relative-strength attempt, while F5 remains a persistent cybersecurity laggard with intact fundamentals. The seven-session audit adds a freshness rule; there is no clean Monday catch-up entry yet.
A weekend forecast for Monday's U.S. session across 12 major technology shares, using Friday's reaction to weak retail sales and the Applied Materials expectation reset to favor relative survivors over generic AI momentum.
Reddit's S&P 500 inclusion, Nubank's earnings beat and firm oil prices stand out as the U.S. market digests weak July retail sales.
Fortinet finally bounced against cybersecurity peers, while F5 and UPS still lag. The screen still requires a second session of relative-strength confirmation.
A premarket forecast for 12 major tech shares before July retail sales, using a selective catalyst-and-regime ensemble after simple momentum failed its holdout baseline.
A softer July PPI and a 2.5% drop in Brent crude are pushing fuel-sensitive travel stocks higher while small caps and the equal-weight S&P 500 extend a broader-market breakout.
L3Harris is finally showing the kind of short-window relative turn a catch-up screen should want, while Fortinet and UPS still lag without enough price confirmation. The seven-session audit adds a stale-gap filter before Thursday's PPI release.
A pre-PPI outlook for 12 major tech stocks, with Nvidia and AMD leading the positive side while inflation, oil and semiconductor earnings can reset the session.
